NSU Research Contributions
Title : Do old age and comorbidity via non-communicable diseases matter for COVID-19 mortality? A Path Analysis
Authors : Gour G. Goswami, Mausumi Mahapatro, ARM M. Ali, and Raisa Rahman
| Journal Title: Frontiers in Public Health | Volume Number: 9:736347 | Publication Year : 2021 | Issue Number: 1 |
| Index: scopus | Ranking: Q1 | ISSN: 22962565 | Publisher Name: Frontiers Media SA |
| Pages : 1 | |||
| Funding Source : None |
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Direct Sustainable Development Goals : SDG3 Good Health & Well-being |
Indirect Sustainable Development Goals : SDG3 Good Health & Well-being |
Sustainable Development Sub Goals : End preventable deaths of newborns and children under 5 years of age Reduce premature mortality from non-communicable diseases and promote mental health and well-being Achieve universal health coverage Support R&D and universal access to medicines/vaccines Strengthen capacity for health risk management |
| Impact statement: his paper used Our World data for coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) death count, test data, stringency, and transmission count and prepared a path model for COVID-19 deaths. We augmented the model with age structure-related variables and comorbidity via non-communicable diseases for 117 countries of the world for September 23, 2021, on a cross-section basis. A broad-based global quantitative study incorporating these two prominent channels with regional variation was unavailable in the existing literature. Old age and comorbidity were identified as two prime determinants of COVID-19 mortality. The path model showed that after controlling for these factors, one SD increase in the proportion of persons above 65, above 70, or of median age raised COVID-19 mortality by more than 0.12 SDs for 117 countries. The regional intensity of death is alarmingly high in South America, Europe, and North America compared with Oceania. After controlling for regions, the figure was raised to 0.213, which was even higher. For old age, the incremental coefficient was the highest for South America (0.564), and Europe (0.314), which were substantially higher than in Oceania. The comorbidity channel via non-communicable diseases illustrated that one SD | Collaboration: Partner University | Keywords: COVID-19, Coronavirus, SARS Cov 2, Death rate, Mortality, Determinants of COVID-19 Moratlity, Our world in data, Path analysis |
