Title : The Bilateral J-Curve: Australia Versus Her 23 Trading Partners


Authors : Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee, Gour Goswami, Bidyut Talukdar


Journal Title: Australian Economic Papers Volume Number: 44 Publication Year : 2005 Issue Number: 2
Index: scopus Ranking: Q2 ISSN: 1467-8454 Publisher Name: Wiley
Pages : 110-120
Funding Information:
Funding Source : None
Other Information:
Direct Sustainable Development Goals :
SDG9 Industry, Innovation & Infrastructure
Indirect Sustainable Development Goals :
SDG9 Industry, Innovation & Infrastructure
Sustainable Development Sub Goals :
Develop quality, sustainable infrastructure
Increase the access of small-scale industrial enterprises to financial services and value chains
Upgrade infrastructure and retrofit industries to make them sustainable
Impact statement: Several studies have examined the J-curve phenomenon in Australia using non-stationary aggregate trade data and have yielded mixed results. They not only suffer from the ‘aggregation bias problem’ but also from the ‘spurious regression problem’. To overcome these problems, in this paper, we investigate the short- and long-run effects of real depreciation of the Australian dollar on the trade balance between Australia and each of its 23 trading partners, using quarterly data over the 1973–2001 period and recent advances in cointegration analysis. The results from the bound-testing approach for cointegration and error-correction modeling offer little support for the J-curve phenomenon. Collaboration: Partner University Keywords: Australia, J-Curve, ARDL Estimation, Bilateral Trade Modeling