Title : Exchange Rate Sensitivity of the Canadian Bilateral In-payments and Out-payments


Authors : Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee, Gour Goswamil, Bidyut Talukdar


Journal Title: Economic Modelling Volume Number: 22 Publication Year : 2005 Issue Number: 4
Index: scopus Ranking: Q1 ISSN: 02649993 Publisher Name: Elsevier
Pages : 745-757
Funding Information:
Funding Source : None
Other Information:
Direct Sustainable Development Goals :
SDG9 Industry, Innovation & Infrastructure
Indirect Sustainable Development Goals :
SDG9 Industry, Innovation & Infrastructure
Sustainable Development Sub Goals :
Develop quality, sustainable infrastructure
Promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization
Increase the access of small-scale industrial enterprises to financial services and value chains
Support domestic technology development & innovation
Impact statement: The traditional way of assessing the impact of currency depreciation on the trade balance has been to estimate the import and export demand elasticities using aggregate trade data and check the Marshall–Lerner condition. To reduce the aggregation bias, the trend now is to estimate these elasticities on a bilateral basis. However, due to a lack of data on bilateral import and export prices, the new models relate import and export values directly to the exchange rate. In this paper, we estimate such models between Canada and its 20 largest trading partners using recent advances in time-series modeling. The results reveal that, in many cases, export values (inpayments) are not sensitive to the exchange rate, whereas import values (outpayments) are. Collaboration: Partner University Keywords: Canada, Bilateral Inpayments, Bilateral Outpayments, Trade Balance Modeling